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$126,590,312

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404,175

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Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$2,713,609

Toluca

 - Kalshi

Toluca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 1:33 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,633,308
N/A
N/A
$644,167
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$443,535
N/A
N/A
$152,542
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$635,381
N/A
N/A
$314,404
Settled
No
polymarket

Querétaro FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC match will be tied at halftime. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw at halftime stands at 100.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official Liga MX match statistics. Watch for the match scheduled for August 22, 2026, as this will determine the halftime result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the official halftime result from Liga MX with consistent handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga MX match statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official halftime score declared by Liga MX
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup, the Draw at halftime market resolves to Yes, others to No
  • Postponements keep markets open until the match concludes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellations: If the game is canceled with no makeup date, the Draw at halftime market resolves to Yes, while Querétaro leading and Toluca leading markets resolve to No
  • Postponements: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and the halftime result is officially recorded
Timing: Within 24 hours of the official halftime whistle, or immediately if the game is canceledOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Querétaro FC and Deportivo Toluca FC, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Queretaro vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Queretaro wins, the 'Queretaro' market resolves to Yes. If Toluca wins, the 'Toluca' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Querétaro vs. Toluca halftime market aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms, showing how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of each team leading at halftime. It displays current chances, total volume of $2,713,609, and 24-hour volume of $2,617,895, offering a consensus view of market sentiment as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader communities and may experience different liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can cause short-term mispricings, where one venue might react faster to new information like lineup changes or weather updates. Additionally, differing volume levels influence how quickly prices adjust, leading to observable gaps between the two platforms until they converge closer to the event.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, tactical announcements from coaches, or even weather conditions affecting the early phases of the match. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of either team scoring more in the first half — such as a star forward being benched — may cause rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi as traders react to new information.