TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 1:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC match will be tied at halftime. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw at halftime stands at 100.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official Liga MX match statistics. Watch for the match scheduled for August 22, 2026, as this will determine the halftime result.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Querétaro FC and Deportivo Toluca FC, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Queretaro vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Queretaro wins, the 'Queretaro' market resolves to Yes. If Toluca wins, the 'Toluca' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader communities and may experience different liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can cause short-term mispricings, where one venue might react faster to new information like lineup changes or weather updates. Additionally, differing volume levels influence how quickly prices adjust, leading to observable gaps between the two platforms until they converge closer to the event.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute player injuries, tactical announcements from coaches, or even weather conditions affecting the early phases of the match. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of either team scoring more in the first half — such as a star forward being benched — may cause rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi as traders react to new information.