TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa
kalshi
polymarket

Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa

Volume:
$244,698

Queretaro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Queretaro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94,260
N/A
N/A
$62,278
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Querétaro FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Necaxa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,078
N/A
N/A
$49,520
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Necaxa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,673
N/A
N/A
$21,326
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Querétaro FC and Club Necaxa scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Querétaro win, Necaxa win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Querétaro win, Necaxa win, or tie), making it impossible for exactly one market to resolve YES as required in a standard three-way match outcome group. Polymarket uses standard mutually-exclusive resolution logic where exactly one of three markets resolves YES based on the actual match result.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket's three markets (Querétaro win, Necaxa win, draw) are properly structured and mutually exclusive. Trade only on Polymarket if you want a resolvable market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES regardless of outcome. Each market states 'then the market resolves to Yes' for Querétaro win, Necaxa win, and tie respectively, creating a logical impossibility where all three outcomes trigger YES resolution simultaneously.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Uses standard mutually-exclusive three-way resolution. Querétaro win market resolves YES only if Querétaro wins; draw market resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; Necaxa win market resolves YES only if Necaxa wins. Exactly one market resolves YES based on actual result: 'If Querétaro FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.