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Querétaro FC vs. CF América
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Querétaro FC vs. CF América?

Volume:
$7,716,439

America

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 1:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

America

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,421,762
N/A
N/A
$2,093,889
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF América

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$924,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,158,752
N/A
N/A
$451,749
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Querétaro FC vs. CF América)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Queretaro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$964,886
N/A
N/A
$533,084
Settled
No
polymarket

Querétaro FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga MX match between Querétaro FC and CF América scheduled for July 18, 2026. Aggregated across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability shows CF América winning at 100.0%, with Querétaro FC winning at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by Official Liga MX statistics and match records from ligamx.net, with credible reporting as a secondary source if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the final whistle on July 18, 2026, which will trigger resolution the following day.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket markets (Querétaro win, draw, América win) apply identical resolution logic, timing windows, postponement handling, and cancellation rules with no platform divergence detected.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga MX statistics and match records (ligamx.net); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match resolves based on the official final result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
  • Querétaro win market resolves YES if Querétaro scores more goals; otherwise NO.
  • Draw market resolves YES if both teams score equal goals; otherwise NO.
  • América win market resolves YES if América scores more goals; otherwise NO.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Querétaro and América win markets resolve NO, and draw market resolves YES.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not honored.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all three markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a final result is official.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the Querétaro win and América win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
  • Score revision after resolution: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution will not be used to alter the settlement outcome.
  • Source delay: If Liga MX does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used for resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time). Official Liga MX statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between Querétaro FC and CF América.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the final result of the Queretaro vs America Liga MX professional soccer game originally scheduled for July 18, 2026. Resolution is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Queretaro victory, America victory, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures rather than to a specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets rely on continuous trading between participants who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market reflects live trader sentiment rather than a bookmaker's margin, often resulting in tighter spreads and prices that adjust rapidly to new information. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, user bases, and liquidity conditions, which can create temporary price gaps on the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in trading fees, market depth, and the timing of large trades also influence how quickly each platform's price responds to breaking news or shifting sentiment. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but gaps can persist if transaction costs or platform restrictions limit cross-exchange activity.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that shift competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can also drive repricing as traders reassess each side's chances. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any official statements from either club may trigger volatility. Additionally, sharp money entering the market or large trades on either side can signal informed positioning and prompt broader price adjustments.