TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams battling for victory during their scheduled game time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score within the standard duration of the match. This scenario assesses the offensive capabilities of each team within the primary timeframe of play.
If Queretaro and Leon both score a goal in the Queretaro vs Leon Liga MX match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams to score, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, as prediction markets incentivize traders to find and act on informational advantages.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Queretaro and Leon will score during the match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of that outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Queretaro and Leon score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and that information will be used to settle the contracts traded on Kalshi. The final result will be based on the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Queretaro or Leon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also contribute to price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the market price on Kalshi.