TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
QT DIG and Crest Gaming Zst compete in Map 1 of their VCL Japan 2026 Valorant match on June 25, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins this individual map.
Map 1 resolution is determined by the outcome of the first map played in the VCL Japan 2026 Valorant match between QT DIG and Crest Gaming Zst scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins Map 1.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders with real money at stake. This market's odds may move faster or slower than traditional sportsbooks depending on how quickly traders react to news, roster changes, or recent performance. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd sees value that oddsmakers have missed or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; a share trading at a higher price indicates stronger confidence in that outcome. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the spread between bid and ask prices shows the current liquidity and conviction among active traders.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect which team wins Map 1 of the match. Until that time, you can trade your position freely on Kalshi. Early resolution is possible if the match is canceled or postponed; any changes to the scheduled date or format would be announced by the platform and reflected in market terms.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head map history. Patch updates or balance changes to the game itself can shift strategic viability. Pre-match commentary from analysts or team statements may influence trader sentiment. Live updates during the match—such as early round outcomes or momentum shifts—will drive sharp price movements as traders react to unfolding events. Unexpected circumstances like technical issues or rule clarifications could also trigger repricing before final resolution.