TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC
polymarket
kalshi

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC

Volume:
$189,171

GameQingdao West Coast FC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

GameQingdao West Coast FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,623
N/A
N/A
$31,666
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Qingdao Xihaian FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

GameTie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,531
N/A
N/A
$21,426
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

GameZhejiang Prof.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,344
N/A
N/A
$17,075
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhejiang Zhiye FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) and Zhejiang Zhiye FC (also referred to as Zhejiang Prof.) scheduled for June 28, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering outcomes for win/loss/draw within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's omnibus market structure (single market resolving Yes for Tie, Qingdao win, OR Zhejiang win) creates a logical impossibility if the match is canceled. Polymarket's three separate binary markets have explicit, mutually exclusive cancellation rules (draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No), but Kalshi's single market cannot simultaneously resolve Yes for all three outcomes or select one without explicit guidance.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's omnibus market without clarification from Kalshi on cancellation protocol. Polymarket's three separate markets are logically sound and independently resolvable. If you hold Kalshi exposure, request explicit cancellation rules before June 28, 2026. For Polymarket, treat the three markets as a complete outcome set: exactly one will resolve Yes (or draw resolves Yes if canceled).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Zhejiang win resolves Yes if Zhejiang wins, No otherwise; (2) Qingdao win resolves Yes if Qingdao wins, No otherwise; (3) Draw resolves Yes if match ends in draw OR if match is canceled with no make-up game, No otherwise. Explicit mutual exclusivity and cancellation handling. Source: CSL official statistics with 2-hour grace period for credible reporting fallback.
  • Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three resolution conditions: resolves Yes if Tie occurs, OR if Qingdao West Coast FC wins, OR if Zhejiang Prof. wins, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. This structure logically resolves Yes for any match outcome, but lacks guidance on what happens if match is canceled or postponed indefinitely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, June 28, 2026 between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Qingdao West Coast FC vs Zhejiang Prof. Chinese Super League match on June 28, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A win by either team resolves the corresponding market to Yes. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than bookmaker margins. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each outcome, with prices reflecting aggregate conviction. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets typically have lower vig and allow direct position-taking without fixed odds. This market's prices emerge from continuous trading rather than oddsmaker adjustments, often capturing sharp sentiment faster. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather that haven't yet moved prediction market prices, creating occasional arbitrage opportunities between the two pricing mechanisms.