TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from open trading between participants with real financial stakes. This market aggregates the beliefs of many traders rather than relying on a single oddsmaker's model. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more dynamic adjustments to breaking news and public sentiment. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather forecasts that traders haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact scoreline through an automated market maker mechanism, where supply and demand determine the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each possible outcome—such as a 1–3 result—has its own contract that trades independently, allowing you to buy or sell exposure to that specific scoreline. The platform displays the current implied probability for each outcome, updated continuously as orders flow in. Prices reflect the aggregate forecast of all market participants, with more capital flowing toward outcomes traders view as more likely. This decentralized pricing model ensures that odds adjust quickly to new information and market sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Qingdao Xihaian FC versus Shanghai Haigang FC match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regular play, with all winning positions paid out based on which scoreline actually occurred. Traders holding contracts matching the true result receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes affecting tactical approach. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings may also influence trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors can impact play style and scoring patterns. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger repricing as new perspectives circulate. Close to kickoff, late-breaking developments—such as unexpected absences or tactical surprises revealed in pre-match interviews—frequently drive sharp moves. Trading volume typically spikes as the match approaches, reflecting heightened interest and conviction among participants.