TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC
Volume:
$112,307
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Chinese Super League match between Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) and Henan FC scheduled for April 22, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Qingdao win, a Henan win, or a draw, evaluated strictly within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Qingdao win, Henan win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of a single match outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it will resolve Yes regardless of the match result, making it impossible to determine a true winner or loser. Stick to Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Market 1 resolves Yes only if Qingdao wins; Market 2 resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves Yes only if Henan wins. Exactly one market will resolve Yes. Resolution source is official CSL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Qingdao and Henan markets to No, and draw market to Yes.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, but all three conditions resolve to Yes: 'If Qingdao wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Henan wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves Yes regardless of the actual match result, violating the principle of a deterministic binary outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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