TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC
polymarket
kalshi

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC

Volume:
$112,307

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 22, 10:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,741
N/A
N/A
$11,994
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Henan FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Henan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,432
N/A
N/A
$7,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Qingdao West Coast FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,853
N/A
N/A
$13,377
Settled
No
polymarket

Qingdao Xihaian FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Chinese Super League match between Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) and Henan FC scheduled for April 22, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Qingdao win, a Henan win, or a draw, evaluated strictly within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Qingdao win, Henan win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of a single match outcome.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it will resolve Yes regardless of the match result, making it impossible to determine a true winner or loser. Stick to Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Market 1 resolves Yes only if Qingdao wins; Market 2 resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves Yes only if Henan wins. Exactly one market will resolve Yes. Resolution source is official CSL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Qingdao and Henan markets to No, and draw market to Yes.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, but all three conditions resolve to Yes: 'If Qingdao wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Henan wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves Yes regardless of the actual match result, violating the principle of a deterministic binary outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.