TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Xihaian FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Qingdao Xihaian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Qingdao Xihaian FC" if Qingdao Xihaian FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Qingdao Xihaian FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Qingdao Xihaian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader consensus and real money at stake. For this matchup, comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders are pricing the second half differently. Prediction markets tend to adjust faster to breaking news and late-game momentum, whereas sportsbooks may lag due to operational constraints. Neither is inherently more accurate, but the gaps between them often signal where informed opinion clusters.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where the price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed on it. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcomes fall, creating a dynamic equilibrium. The cost to buy a share in any outcome is its current probability estimate. Liquidity pools or order books ensure continuous pricing even during low-volume periods. Settlement occurs after the second half concludes, and winning shares are redeemed at full value while losing shares expire worthless, incentivizing accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half of the match between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half period only, independent of the first half. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout automatically upon resolution. Any delays in official confirmation may postpone settlement, but the market will close once the result is publicly confirmed and deemed final by relevant sporting authorities.
Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can shift odds significantly, as can weather conditions or venue factors affecting play style. Early first-half momentum often influences second-half expectations, so a strong or weak opening 45 minutes typically triggers repricing. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, or red cards during the first half will ripple into this market as traders reassess the second-half outlook. Live betting activity and social media sentiment can accelerate moves, especially if a controversial decision or unexpected goal swings perception. Close to resolution, any official confirmation of team rosters or match status will trigger final adjustments before the second half begins.