TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC
polymarket
kalshi

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC

Volume:
$340,699

Qingdao Hainiu

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 9:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Qingdao Hainiu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$140,101
N/A
N/A
$110,353
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Qingdao Hainiu FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$60,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yunnan Yukun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,409
N/A
N/A
$36,747
Settled
No
polymarket

Yunnan Yukun FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,518
N/A
N/A
$22,879
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Yunnan Yukun FC scheduled for June 26, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track three possible outcomes: Yunnan Yukun win, draw, or Qingdao Hainiu win, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution logic: official CSL result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
  • Yunnan Yukun win market resolves Yes if Yunnan Yukun scores more goals; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
  • Qingdao Hainiu win market resolves Yes if Qingdao Hainiu scores more goals; otherwise No
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Yunnan Yukun and Qingdao Hainiu win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; no automatic resolution occurs.
  • Match Cancellation Without Make-up: Yunnan Yukun win and Qingdao Hainiu win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If CSL does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback resolution source.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any official score revisions made after market resolution are not reflected in the final outcome.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match result by Chinese Super League governing body, or within 2 hours post-match conclusion if using credible reporting consensus. Markets remain open if match is postponed until rescheduled match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Friday, June 26, 2026 between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Yunnan Yukun FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun Chinese Super League match scheduled for June 26, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered. Each outcome—Qingdao Hainiu victory, Yunnan Yukun victory, or a tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi continuously adjust prices based on supply and demand, reflecting crowd sentiment in real time. Sportsbooks typically build in margins and manage liability across balanced books, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants. This market's odds may move faster or reflect different risk assessments than conventional betting sites, especially as new information about team form or injuries emerges.

On Polymarket, traders set odds through an automated market maker, while Kalshi uses an order-book model—each mechanism responds differently to order flow and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user base, fee structures, and contract design can also cause pricing gaps. If one platform has higher trading volume or attracts more informed traders on a particular outcome, its price will diverge from the other. These spreads typically narrow as traders arbitrage between venues, but temporary misalignments create opportunities for alert market participants.

Key catalysts include team injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that shift perceived match quality. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue factors, or late-breaking news about player availability may trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, large trades or accumulating volume on one outcome can signal informed positioning, prompting other traders to adjust their bets. Monitor official team communications and sports news closely for developments that could swing this market significantly.