TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:27 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent participants collectively believe will happen, rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting outcomes, though sportsbook odds remain useful for comparison and context.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader activity and order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome has its own price, ranging from near-zero to near-certain, and traders buy or sell shares to express their conviction. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises, reflecting increased confidence in that result. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures real-time liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match between the two clubs concludes and the final scoreline is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the official result. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust their positions as the match progresses and new information becomes available. Resolution is automatic once the verified final score is recorded.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers significant repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings provide context that traders monitor closely. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting market activity can also influence sentiment. As kickoff approaches and the match begins, live score updates and in-game developments will drive continuous price adjustments, with early goals or red cards typically causing the sharpest moves.