Team name mismatch creates logical contradiction: Polymarket references 'Qingdao Xihaian FC' while Kalshi references 'Qingdao West Coast FC'. These appear to be the same team (Xihaian = West Coast in Chinese), but the naming inconsistency makes cross-platform reconciliation impossible and creates unresolvable ambiguity in market settlement.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms without explicit confirmation that Xihaian FC and West Coast FC are identical entities. If they are the same team, one platform has a critical data entry error that could cause settlement disputes. If they are different teams, the event groups are fundamentally incompatible and should not be compared.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw outcome, (2) Qingdao Xihaian FC win, (3) Qingdao Hainiu FC win. Each resolves independently based on official CSL statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to YES, and win markets to NO.
Kalshi: Single market with three possible outcomes (Yes/No/Tie): resolves YES if Qingdao West Coast FC wins OR Qingdao Hainiu wins OR Tie occurs. All three outcomes resolve to YES, making the market logically equivalent to 'Will the match be played?' rather than a true outcome market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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