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Qatar vs. Switzerland - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Qatar vs. Switzerland - First Team to Score

Volume:
$319,287

Switzerland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Switzerland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77,941
N/A
N/A
$65,663
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Switzerland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Qatar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Qatar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,761
N/A
N/A
$41,933
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,546
N/A
N/A
$8,070
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first team to score in the Qatar vs. Switzerland FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026. Markets across platforms allow traders to bet on whether Qatar scores first, Switzerland scores first, or neither team scores during the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi define the match scope differently. Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time. Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods. This creates a logical contradiction where the same first-goal event could resolve to different outcomes on each platform.Hero tip: Do not assume cross-platform hedging will work. A goal in extra time creates a divergent settlement: Polymarket resolves to Neither, Kalshi resolves to the scoring team. Monitor match progression closely and understand your platform-specific exposure before kickoff.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Scope limited to 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded from resolution. Primary source is official statistics from governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting consensus as fallback if stats unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Scope includes entire game: regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. No explicit mention of penalty shootouts. Resolution logic is binary: if Qatar scores first (at any point in entire game), market resolves Yes; if Switzerland scores first (at any point in entire game), market resolves Yes; if neither scores (at any point in entire game), market resolves Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Qatar and Switzerland, scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Qatar" if Qatar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which team records the first goal during the entire game, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal. The possible outcomes are Qatar scores first, Switzerland scores first, or no goal is scored.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate decentralized trader conviction in real time. Sportsbooks set fixed odds and manage liability; prediction markets continuously update as new information emerges. For the Qatar vs. Switzerland first-goal event, you can compare the implied probabilities on both platforms against major sportsbook lines to identify discrepancies. Prediction market odds tend to adjust faster to team news, lineup changes, and betting flow, making them valuable for spotting value or confirming consensus before the match begins.

Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and starting XI announcements, which reveal attacking depth and defensive vulnerabilities. Injury updates to star forwards or defensive leaders can shift scoring probability significantly. Pre-match press conferences may hint at tactical adjustments or aggression levels. Weather conditions at kickoff, such as wind or rain, can favor certain playing styles. Recent form and head-to-head history may resurface in media coverage, influencing trader sentiment. Live betting flow during the opening minutes will also move odds as early possession and shot attempts provide real data. Monitor sports news and official team channels closely for any late-breaking developments.