TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup match between Qatar and Switzerland scheduled for June 13, 2026, with focus on the first-half result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the first half result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The three possible outcomes are Qatar leads at halftime, Switzerland leads at halftime, or the teams are tied at halftime. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money positions from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst consensus. While sports analysts may rely on historical form, squad strength, and tactical breakdowns, prediction markets incorporate live information, injury updates, and dynamic trader sentiment. For this Qatar–Switzerland first-half matchup, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities against published expert predictions and bookmaker lines can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus may be underpricing a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Qatar vs Switzerland first-half winner market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to each outcome. The current bid-ask spread reflects the tightness of agreement around each result's likelihood. Prices move in real time as new information arrives—team news, weather, or early match momentum—allowing traders to adjust positions right up until the first half concludes. Kalshi's transparent price history lets you track how the market repriced this matchup from open to close.
The Qatar vs Switzerland: First Half Winner market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, which corresponds to the conclusion of the first half of their scheduled match. Resolution is determined by the official result at the 45-minute mark—whether Qatar scores more goals, Switzerland scores more goals, or both teams are level. Once the first half ends and the official score is confirmed, the market settles to the winning outcome and all positions are closed.
Several catalysts could shift odds before and during the first half. Pre-match, team news such as injuries, lineup confirmations, or late tactical changes can trigger repricing. Weather conditions and pitch reports may also influence early trading. Once the match begins, actual goals scored, red cards, or clear scoring chances will drive rapid price movement. Early possession patterns, corner counts, and goalkeeper saves all provide real-time signals that traders use to adjust their positions, making the first-half winner market highly dynamic from kickoff through the 45-minute mark.