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Qatar vs. Saudi Arabia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Qatar vs. Saudi Arabia?

Volume:
$123,304

Saudi Arabia

 - Kalshi

Saudi Arabia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 2:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saudi Arabia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,164
N/A
N/A
$37,505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Qatar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,172
N/A
N/A
$25,830
Settled
No
polymarket

Qatar vs. Saudi Arabia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Qatar and Saudi Arabia scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single match, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both a Qatar win and a Saudi Arabia win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified. This is a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the contradiction is resolved. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the market is meant to be binary (Qatar Yes/No) or if one of the resolution conditions was incorrectly transcribed. Use Polymarket as your reference market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clear binary structure: resolves to Qatar or Saudi Arabia based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: FIBA official results.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Qatar wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Saudi Arabia wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same state in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for June 29 at 12:00PM ET: If the Qatar win, the market will resolve to "Qatar". If the Saudi Arabia win, the market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final result of the Saudi Arabia vs Qatar professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading where prices emerge from supply and demand. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge from major sportsbook lines because prediction traders often incorporate longer-term information, sharper analytical models, or different risk appetites. Comparing both sources can reveal whether consensus is shifting or if one venue is mispricing relative to the other.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, identical events can trade at different prices due to several structural factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Polymarket's order-book model and Kalshi's AMM-style mechanics also process trades at different speeds and costs. Additionally, regulatory nuances and user interface design shape which outcomes attract more volume on each venue. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit them, but they create opportunities for alert traders to find value.