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405,232
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Closed: Jun 13, 6:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Qatar and Switzerland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Qatar and Switzerland (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 13, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often reflect real-time trader positioning and can differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks apply fixed margins and adjust based on liability management, prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs with minimal friction. Sportsbook odds for card totals tend to be more conservative and slower to shift, whereas prediction markets may price in late-breaking team news, lineup changes, or referee assignments more dynamically. Comparing the two venues can reveal where sharper traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for yes and no outcomes. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell interest at the margin. Pricing incorporates team discipline records, historical card rates in competitive matches, referee tendencies, and any recent roster or tactical adjustments. As new information emerges—such as confirmed lineups or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, moving the midpoint price up or down to reflect changing conviction about whether four or more cards will be issued.
This market resolves on Jun 14, 2026 following the conclusion of the Qatar versus Switzerland match. The outcome is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regulation and injury time. Resolution depends on the official match record as reported by the governing body and confirmed by the prediction market's data provider. Once the final card count is verified, the market settles to yes or no based on whether that total meets or exceeds four cards.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and any late injury announcements that affect squad composition and playing style. Referee assignment can significantly impact card issuance rates, as different officials have distinct disciplinary tendencies. Recent form and head-to-head history between these teams may shift trader expectations about intensity and fouling patterns. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament context—such as whether either team needs a result to advance—can all influence aggression levels and card accumulation. Breaking news about suspensions or tactical changes will likely trigger repricing on Limitless.