TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 2:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the margin of victory in a soccer match between Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv. Each market specifies a different threshold for how many goals the winning team must score beyond their opponent for the outcome to be considered a success. The events are determined solely by the result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets evaluate different goal-differential thresholds for determining a successful outcome in the Qarabag versus Dynamo Kyiv Conference League match scheduled for August 13, 2026. All resolutions are based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the specified team wins by exceeding the stated goal-difference threshold—more than 2.5 goals for Qarabag in one market and more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for Dynamo Kyiv in others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform bears no official affiliation with the governing league and that all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on historical data and expert analysis, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, incorporating real-time sentiment and new information. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader confidence. Comparing the two gives a view of where public and institutional expectations diverge or align.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding, with prices adjusting based on buying and selling activity. The current implied chance for each possible spread reflects the collective judgment of participants about the likely point difference after regulation time. Market depth and liquidity influence how quickly prices move, and volume of $13,585 shows overall interest in this outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread after regulation time will determine which side wins, based on official match results and statistics from recognized sports authorities. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded final score and time played.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations for the match outcome and move this market. Major news affecting team performance, such as disciplinary actions or lineup announcements, may also cause rapid price changes. As the event approaches, any update that influences the perceived likelihood of a win, loss, or draw will impact trader sentiment and market odds.