TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC
Volume:
$4,204,782
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional soccer match between Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Newcastle United FC scheduled for February 18, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) on Polymarket and total goals scored on Kalshi, all referencing the same fixture and 90-minute regulation period.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi address different settlement dimensions (match outcome vs. total goals) for the same fixture. Additionally, Polymarket's cancellation logic for the Draw market diverges from its Win markets, and Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.Hero Tip:
Confirm with Kalshi how total goals markets resolve if the match is canceled or postponed indefinitely. Verify the fixture is a UEFA Champions League match (not Europa League or another competition). These markets are complementary—use Polymarket for outcome prediction and Kalshi for goal-scoring intensity, but do not expect them to validate each other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Newcastle Win, Draw, Qarabag Win) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no makeup: Win markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Source: UEFA.com.
- Kalshi: Four independent total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) reference the same 90-minute window and describe the fixture as a Champions League game. No cancellation or postponement clause stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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