TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Qairat FK and FK Sutjeska Nikšić, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Qairat FK and FK Sutjeska Nikšić, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. In this market, traders are directly rewarded for accuracy, which can surface sharper probability estimates than traditional bookmakers offer. However, sportsbooks may incorporate real-time injury reports or late-breaking news faster than crowd-sourced markets. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of where informed opinion clusters around the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the cumulative trades of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders who believe a particular scoreline is underpriced buy shares at the current ask, pushing that outcome's probability higher; those betting against it sell, lowering the price. The system ensures continuous liquidity and transparent pricing throughout the trading window. Each exact score outcome has its own price, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent, reflecting the market's collective forecast.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No extra time or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the official result is confirmed and published.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations about goal output. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into particular outcomes can trigger rapid repricing as the market absorbs new conviction. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates closer to kickoff may also shift odds. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can amplify or dampen trader interest in certain exact scores as the event date approaches.