TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Pyunik FA and Marsaxlokk FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pyunik FA" if Pyunik FA score more goals than Marsaxlokk FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Pyunik FA and Marsaxlokk FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Marsaxlokk FC" if Marsaxlokk FC score more goals than Pyunik FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Pyunik FA and Marsaxlokk FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pyunik FA" if Pyunik FA score more goals than Marsaxlokk FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Pyunik FA and Marsaxlokk FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Marsaxlokk FC" if Marsaxlokk FC score more goals than Pyunik FA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on whether informed traders on Polymarket see value that bookmakers have missed. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and casual opinion diverge on the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one potential result, and the price of that share reflects the collective probability assigned by all active traders. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices respond, so periods of high volume typically yield tighter spreads and faster price discovery.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and goal distribution during the second half only, independent of first-half events. Resolution occurs after official match records are confirmed, ensuring accuracy and preventing premature settlement. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any postponements or rescheduling that might affect the resolution timeline.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. Early first-half momentum and goals may influence trader expectations for the second half, triggering repricing as the match unfolds. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, or red cards during the first half often prompt sharp moves in this market. Weather conditions, pitch quality, or unexpected referee decisions can also sway sentiment. Real-time match flow and momentum swings typically drive the most volatile price action, especially as the second half approaches and traders refine their forecasts based on live performance.