TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Justin Bieber's album Purpose will accumulate more than 66.6 million streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week, with a current probability of 2.0% for Yes. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide stream counts for that specific seven-day period. Watch the streaming performance data release on or around June 1, 2026, when Luminate publishes final counts for the May 22–28 tracking week.
On Kalshi, the Purpose streams up this week contract is priced as a binary outcome: will Justin Bieber's 'Purpose' achieve above 66,598,629 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at odds reflecting the probability of that threshold being met. The current market price reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as new information emerges or the tracking week progresses, the price adjusts to match changing trader expectations about whether the streaming volume will exceed the specified benchmark.
The Purpose streams up this week market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the May 22–28 tracking period. The outcome hinges on whether Justin Bieber's 'Purpose' track records above 66,598,629 streams during that exact window. Once the tracking week closes and Luminate publishes final figures, the contract settles based on whether the threshold was exceeded, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. A surprise radio push, playlist placement on major streaming platforms, or viral social media moments could drive unexpected listener volume. Conversely, competing releases or declining listener engagement might suppress streams. Real-time Luminate data leaks or industry reports about streaming trends could also move the market. Additionally, any news about Justin Bieber's promotional activity or touring schedule during the May 22–28 window could influence listener behavior and streaming totals, causing traders to reprice their positions.