TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of UCLA and Purdue in their upcoming college football game. Each market evaluates whether a team reaches specific point thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for prediction.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Purdue vs UCLA college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes, providing a different perspective on the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them, ultimately determining the implied probabilities for each team's total score.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Purdue and UCLA will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual totals exceed or fall short of the contract values. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world results of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Purdue or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could also play a role. Unexpected developments leading up to the game, such as a major upset in another relevant contest, could also impact trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.