TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:40 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of UCLA and Purdue in the second half of their college football game, focusing specifically on the point differential. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which one team must win the second half to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Purdue vs UCLA college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if UCLA wins the second half by more than a set number of points (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5), or if Purdue wins by more than a set number of points (ranging from 2.5 to 14.5), the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored in the second half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and attempt to account for public betting patterns, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to a more efficient price discovery process. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes differ due to factors like marketing promotions or differing risk assessments, and it's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the trading period.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Purdue vs UCLA 2nd half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely spread, factoring in all available information and analysis. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Purdue vs UCLA game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college basketball. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence the Purdue vs UCLA 2nd half spread market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions announced before the game could also impact the market. Furthermore, public perception and betting trends, even outside of Kalshi, can influence trader behavior. Finally, any late-breaking news or unexpected developments leading up to the game could cause shifts in the price of contracts in this market.