TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.3b

24H VOL:

$206,446,559

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,853,498,357

475,549

Markets across

35,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,812

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Purdue vs. Illinois
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Purdue vs. Illinois?

Volume:
$2,126,411

Purdue

 - Kalshi

Purdue - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Purdue

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$819,043
N/A
N/A
$422,597
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Purdue vs. Illinois

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q O/U 7.5

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois

0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936,902
N/A
N/A
$600,717
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 61.5

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total scrimmage yards for Purdue in its upcoming football game against Illinois, with outcomes based on over or under 350.5 yards. Currently, the consensus probability favors Purdue exceeding 350.5 total scrimmage yards at 50.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will be resolved based on official statistics reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final yardage totals will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A large number of spread markets with differing point spreads exist, creating SKU risk and potential for conflicting resolutions.Hero tip: Carefully review the specific point spread of each market before trading to avoid confusion and ensure you are betting on the outcome you intend.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a wide range of markets, including winner, total points (O/U), and numerous spread markets with varying point spreads (e.g., -20.5, -17.5, -16.5, etc.). Resolution is based on the final game score and spread.
  • Kalshi: Only offers a market on the winner of the game. Resolution is based on which team wins the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Purdue and Illinois, scheduled for October 3 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game. This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, both serve as indicators of expected probabilities, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different users with varying expertise and information. Polymarket and Kalshi also have distinct fee structures and liquidity profiles, which can influence pricing. Furthermore, the specific market types offered on each platform—for example, a spread versus a simple win/loss outcome—can lead to divergent opinions. These factors combine to create price discrepancies, even when both markets address the same underlying event. The differing volume on each platform also contributes to price discovery.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games for either Purdue or Illinois will also likely cause price movement. Additionally, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create short-term volatility, as can broader shifts in public opinion regarding the teams' chances of success. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.