TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - More Markets

Volume:
$90,697
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX soccer match between Pumas de la UNAM and Deportivo Toluca FC scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span total goals (over/unders at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), point spreads for both teams, and a both-teams-to-score prop. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve all markets on the official final score from ligamx.net within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent postponement and cancellation protocols (50-50 if canceled entirely).

Primary resolution logic:

Official final score published on ligamx.net; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • Total goals markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): Resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams. Kalshi uses 'more than X' (strict >), Polymarket uses 'X or more' (>=), but thresholds align numerically (e.g., >1.5 and >=2 both mean 2+ goals).
  • Spread markets (Pumas -2.5, Pumas -1.5, Toluca -2.5, Toluca -1.5): Resolve based on goal differential. Pumas -2.5 requires Pumas win by 3+; Pumas -1.5 requires Pumas win by 2+; Toluca spreads mirror this logic.
  • Both Teams to Score: Resolves YES if each team scores at least 1 goal; NO if either team scores 0.
  • All markets exclude extra time and penalties; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
  • If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Game postponed: Markets remain open until the match is completed. No early resolution.
  • Game canceled entirely: All markets resolve 50-50 if no makeup game is scheduled.
  • Game started but not completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net for the portion played.
  • Official score delayed: If ligamx.net does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.
  • Threshold phrasing difference: Kalshi's 'more than X.5' and Polymarket's 'X or more goals' are functionally equivalent (e.g., >1.5 = >=2). No practical divergence in settlement.

Timing:

Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official score must be published on ligamx.net or consensus established within 2 hours of final whistle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.