TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Deportivo Toluca FC
Volume:
$604,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between Pumas de la UNAM and Deportivo Toluca FC scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the core resolution logic: outcome determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. All three mutually exclusive outcomes (Pumas win, Toluca win, draw) are covered across the market set.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX match records (ligamx.net) and final scoreline at 90 minutes plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Pumas de la UNAM wins, Deportivo Toluca FC wins, or draw
- Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw; resolves No otherwise
- Polymarket Toluca win market resolves Yes if Toluca wins; resolves No otherwise
- Polymarket Pumas win market resolves Yes if Pumas wins; resolves No otherwise
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for whichever outcome occurs (tie, Toluca win, or Pumas win)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation (Polymarket): If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves to Yes; Polymarket win markets (both teams) resolve to No
- Match Cancellation (Kalshi): Kalshi does not explicitly specify cancellation handling; markets are contingent on the game being played as originally scheduled or rescheduled
- Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; any goals scored in extra time or outcomes decided by penalty shootout are not counted
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at 90 minutes plus stoppage time). If postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match date is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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