TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca?

Volume:
$2,656,166

Pachuca

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pachuca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$972,441
N/A
N/A
$578,629
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Pachuca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pumas UNAM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,008,212
N/A
N/A
$804,689
Settled
No
polymarket

Pumas de la UNAM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468,487
N/A
N/A
$295,681
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Liga MX professional soccer match between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Pachuca on July 18, 2026. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows CF Pachuca winning at 100.0%, with Pumas de la UNAM winning at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official Liga MX match results based on the outcome after 90 minutes of play. Watch for the final whistle on July 18, 2026, which will trigger resolution on July 19, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi markets lack this clause. This creates asymmetric resolution logic for the cancellation edge case.Hero tip: If the match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's tie market will not have a defined resolution path. Traders should clarify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly or assume it defaults to NO. This divergence is low-severity because cancellations are rare, but it is material if they occur.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Pumas win (YES if Pumas wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw OR if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Pachuca win (YES if Pachuca wins, NO otherwise). All resolve on official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw market to YES and win markets to NO.
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets: Pumas UNAM win (YES if Pumas wins after 90+stoppage), Pachuca win (YES if Pachuca wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (YES if tie after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies resolution depends on whether game is played; no guidance on canceled games.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 between Pumas de la UNAM and CF Pachuca.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca Liga MX match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome is categorized into three mutually exclusive results: a Pumas UNAM victory, a Pachuca victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established procedures rather than to any specific outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from thousands of independent traders, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. This market aggregates trader sentiment across multiple platforms, often revealing sharper or earlier price moves than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can highlight value: if this market's odds diverge significantly from your preferred sportsbook, it may indicate mispricing or a shift in underlying expectations.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity pools, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Factors include user geography, platform fees, available trading pairs, and the timing of large trades. Smaller or newer markets often show wider spreads between platforms. Monitoring both helps you identify arbitrage opportunities and understand which platform's user base is more bullish or bearish on a given outcome.

Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head history, and any tactical shifts by either manager. Weather conditions on match day, betting volume spikes, and social media sentiment can also drive rapid repricing. Major news—such as a star player's availability or unexpected lineup changes—often triggers sharp moves across both platforms. Monitor official team announcements and sports news closely to stay ahead of market shifts.