TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Puebla vs Toluca: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Puebla vs Toluca?

Volume:
$340,115

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 11:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$247,455
N/A
N/A
$145,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,140
N/A
N/A
$29,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Puebla wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,277
N/A
N/A
$14,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Puebla wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,199
N/A
N/A
$5,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,044
N/A
N/A
$4,044
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same soccer match, evaluating whether either team wins by a sufficient number of goals. The result hinges on the difference in goals between the two teams at the end of regulation time.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Puebla vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Two markets exist: one for Puebla winning by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, and another for Toluca winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. If the specified team achieves the required winning margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Puebla vs Toluca match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $340,115. The 24-hour volume is $331,010, indicating recent interest. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding the spread for this particular soccer match. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential results.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome of the Puebla vs Toluca match. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Puebla vs Toluca match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings suggest uncertainty or the arrival of new information. The current volume traded is $340,115.

This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Puebla vs Toluca match as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following verification. The specific details of the spread will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the prices at the time of trading.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Puebla or Toluca would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, might impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.