TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first half in an upcoming professional soccer match between Puebla and Guadalajara. The result depends on which team scores more goals in the first 45 minutes plus any added stoppage time, or if the half ends in a tie with equal scores or no goals.
The event determines the winner of the first half in the Puebla vs Guadalajara professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026. If Puebla scores more goals than Guadalajara in the first half (including stoppage time), the 'Puebla wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If Guadalajara scores more goals, the 'Guadalajara wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of goals or neither scores, the 'Tie 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation and are strictly based on the specified match outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is more likely to lead at halftime. Volume of $147,693 shows overall interest, while price fluctuations respond quickly to new information like lineup changes or weather updates.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half is determined by the official match record at the halftime whistle, and the platform will finalize the market based on that data. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed result.
Injuries, weather conditions, or strategic changes announced by either team’s coach could shift expectations for early dominance and move this market. Key player availability, recent form, and tactical adjustments often influence trader sentiment in the days leading up to the match. Any last-minute news affecting squad strength or motivation may cause noticeable price swings on Kalshi as traders reposition.