TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Puebla and Atlante, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time. Different thresholds define whether the event is considered a success for Puebla or Atlante.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Puebla versus Atlante professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for September 18, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the winning margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Puebla wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Puebla wins by more than 1.5 goals, another market resolves to Yes. Parallel conditions exist for Atlante: winning by more than 1.5 goals and winning by more than 2.5 goals each have distinct Yes outcomes. All markets share the same underlying match and time constraints, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the Governing League or use of its trademarks.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often provide different odds than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the Puebla vs Atlante match. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions on the spread for the Puebla vs Atlante match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential outcomes. This reflects the aggregated beliefs of those participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Puebla vs Atlante match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will determine the settlement of all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed through polls, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Puebla vs Atlante match. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.