TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
The market examines various scoring thresholds for each team individually over the entire match duration, excluding extra time and penalties, to assess their offensive performance.
These markets resolve based on the number of goals scored by each team—PSG and Aston Villa—during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the UEFA Super Cup match scheduled for August 12, 2026, excluding extra time and penalty kicks. For PSG, markets resolve to Yes if they score over 0.5, over 1.5, or over 2.5 goals. For Aston Villa, markets resolve to Yes if they score over 0.5, over 1.5, or over 2.5 goals. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. Each market is independent, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may focus on team form, injuries, and historical performance, while traders on Kalshi price in real-time sentiment, recent news, and betting trends. This can lead to notable differences — for example, analysts might favor a higher-scoring match, whereas market odds could shift dramatically after key player updates or momentum swings.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match statistics — specifically, whether the total goals scored by both teams fall above or below the market line — and will be finalized once authoritative sports data sources confirm the final score.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, lineup changes, and pre-match betting trends are major signals that could shift this market. Momentum swings from recent matches, tactical announcements, and even early-game events once the match starts often drive rapid price adjustments. Trader reactions to breaking news — especially around star player availability — typically produce the most pronounced movements in the hours leading up to kickoff.