TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The market focuses on the total number of goals scored by both teams specifically during the first half of the match, with various scoring thresholds to be assessed.
These markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both PSG and Aston Villa during the first half of the UEFA Super Cup match scheduled for August 12, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 goals. If the actual total goals scored in the first half meet or exceed the specified threshold for any market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The secondary rules clarify that the market refers specifically to the first half, and if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd sentiment. Analysts may focus on team form, injuries, and historical performance to predict the first-half total, while traders on Kalshi incorporate these insights alongside real-time betting patterns. Discrepancies can arise when market momentum shifts sharply after new information, such as a key player being benched or weather conditions changing.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score at halftime will determine whether the total goals fall above or below the market’s defined threshold, and the result is settled based on official match records and widely accepted sports data sources.
Injuries, lineup changes, weather updates, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift this market. Key moments such as early goals or red cards often cause rapid price adjustments, as they dramatically alter the expected pace and scoring probability. Traders on Kalshi will also react to pre-match media analysis, betting trends, and any last-minute team news released before kickoff.