TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The market determines whether either team wins the first half of the match by a margin of more than 1.5 goals, focusing on dominant half-time performances.
These markets resolve based on the goal difference between PSG and Aston Villa specifically during the first half of the UEFA Super Cup match scheduled for August 12, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if PSG wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. The second market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. Each market is independent. The secondary rules clarify that the market refers specifically to the first half, and if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual first-half score difference, which will be compared against the market’s defined spread to settle all positions.
Injuries, lineup changes, or weather conditions could significantly affect this market as the match approaches. Key moments like manager statements or early pre-game momentum shifts may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster updates for either team could prompt rapid reassessments of likely first-half outcomes, moving the odds on Kalshi before resolution on Aug 12, 2026.