TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Providence Friars and Creighton Bluejays scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Providence win and Creighton win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic with distinct resolution outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected market specification. The Kalshi market as currently written cannot be settled because there is no logical path to a No resolution. Polymarket is the only reliably resolvable market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Providence Friars' if Providence wins; resolves to 'Creighton Bluejays' if Creighton wins. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Providence Friars win, the market will resolve to Providence Friars. If the Creighton Bluejays win, the market will resolve to Creighton Bluejays.'Kalshi:
Logically contradictory Yes/Yes structure. Both outcomes map to Yes resolution with no specified No condition. Key Quote: 'If Providence wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable market where the platform has no logical path to settle either outcome as a loss.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.