TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams will compete in a League of Legends match where the outcome depends on which team secures victory on the first map. The result hinges on the performance of Project Conquerors and Skillcamp Esport during this specific segment of play.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 1 of the LFL Promotion 2027 match between Project Conquerors and Skillcamp Esport scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the true probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. Observing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more traders buy contracts for a particular map, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, making the price a dynamic reflection of collective belief about the map pick.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official map selection for Map 1 in the Project Conquerors vs. Skillcamp Esport match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The map chosen by the tournament organizers will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct map will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect maps will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes could shift expectations. Official announcements from the tournament organizers regarding map pools or potential veto procedures could also have a significant impact. Even social media sentiment and community discussions surrounding potential map picks could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 15, 2026.