TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player achieves the highest rushing yardage across all professional football games during a specified week. Participants can bet on individual players to secure the top performance in rushing distance for that week.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the most rushing yards across all professional football games in Week 3 of the 2026 season. If the designated player does not participate in any game that week, the market resolves to No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest rushing yards, the payout is divided equally among all tied players, calculated as $1 minus the Yes payout amount, distributed proportionally as 1/N, where N represents the number of players sharing the top yardage. The operator explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a player is undervalued by sportsbooks, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and bringing it closer to what they perceive as the true probability. However, discrepancies can and do exist, presenting potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for Week 3 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the highest number of official rushing yards as recorded by the NFL will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics released by the NFL and will not be subject to revision or appeal. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially determined and reported.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are crucial; if a key running back is ruled out, their price will likely plummet, and the prices of their teammates and opposing players will increase. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could favor teams with stronger running games. Game day performance, including early drives and play-calling tendencies, will also influence trading activity. Finally, any news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could shift expectations and move the market.