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Pro Football: Vikings Week 1 Starting QB
kalshi
polymarket

Pro Football: Vikings Week 1 Starting QB

Volume:
$30,003

Kyler Murray

 - Polymarket

Kyler Murray - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 7:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kyler Murray

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

J.J. McCarthy

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,639
N/A
N/A
$1,486
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
$1,172
Settled
No
polymarket

Carson Wentz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$895
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 1Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 1Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$747
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 1Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Brosmer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 1Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins 1Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
polymarket

QB A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

QB J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event group tracks which quarterback will start for the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Markets cover multiple potential starters including named players and 'someone else' options.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve using the same core logic: official announcement or first snap determines the starter, with specific tie-breaking rules and a cancellation condition.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the NFL and/or the Minnesota Vikings; credible reporting may be used as a consensus if official information is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the quarterback officially announced by the Minnesota Vikings as the Week 1 starter
  • If no official announcement, resolve based on the quarterback who takes the team's first offensive snap in Week 1
  • If two listed quarterbacks take the first snap, resolve in favor of the player receiving the snap
  • If neither listed quarterback receives the first snap, resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap
  • If still tied, resolve in favor of the quarterback whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • If Week 1 is canceled or postponed after September 30, 2026, resolve to 'Other'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Official Announcement: Market resolves based on the quarterback taking the first snap for the Vikings in Week 1
  • Tie in First Snap: Resolve in favor of the quarterback whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • Cancellations: If Week 1 is canceled or postponed after September 30, 2026, market resolves to 'Other'
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Minnesota Vikings' Week 1 game of the 2026-27 NFL regular season, or immediately if the game is canceled/postposed past September 30, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the Minnesota Vikings to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the listed team’s first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Minnesota Vikings’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Minnesota Vikings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The markets collectively assess various point spread thresholds for determining the outcome of the first quarter in the Baltimore vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market specifies a distinct point differential that must be exceeded by either team for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Specifically, markets are structured around incremental point spreads ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate conditions for both Minnesota and Baltimore winning the quarter by the specified margin. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to subsequent quarters or overall game results. The resolution hinges solely on whether the winning team in the first quarter achieves a score differential that surpasses the threshold defined in each respective market. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Vikings Week 1 QB market aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for each possible starting quarterback. It tracks consensus views and price movements as new information emerges, letting users monitor how betting interest and news shape expectations. This unified view helps traders spot trends and compare sentiment on different venues, all centered around the same predictive question.

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights than traditional sportsbook lines, because they update continuously based on trader activity and can incorporate nuanced betting angles. While sportsbooks set fixed odds that include a built-in margin, prediction markets let participants price outcomes themselves, sometimes producing tighter spreads or different favorites. The gap between the two can widen if major news — like an injury or coaching decision — hits closer to the game.