TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:48 PM EST
Kalshi
The NFL Top 100 List for 2026 will rank one or more designated players among the elite tier, recognizing the year's most outstanding performers. This annual voter-driven ranking highlights the best talent across the league based on peer evaluations.
If Josh Allen is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lamar Jackson is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Daniels is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake Maye is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Hurts is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Burrow is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penei Sewell is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Purdy is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Williams is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dak Prescott is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Mahomes is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bo Nix is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trevor Lawrence is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Myles Garrett is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saquon Barkley is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Stafford is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ja'Marr Chase is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Jefferson is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pat Surtain II is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If T.J. Watt is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Anderson Jr. is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derek Stingley Jr. is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Darnold is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grey Zabel is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lane Johnson is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maxx Crosby is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Bowers is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danielle Hunter is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jahmyr Gibbs is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tristan Wirfs is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nico Collins is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Budda Baker is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CeeDee Lamb is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nik Bonitto is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Puka Nacua is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Carter is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trent Williams is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quinyon Mitchell is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jared Verse is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derwin James Jr. is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bijan Robinson is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trey McBride is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian McCaffrey is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Khalil Mack is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Gonzalez is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Cook III is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jessie Bates III is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Sweat is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by traders rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks focus on point spreads and game outcomes; prediction markets directly price the probability of a specific event—in this case, a player's top-5 ranking. Prediction markets often reflect real-time crowd sentiment and can diverge from analyst consensus or preseason rankings. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is more or less bullish on a particular player than conventional sports media expectations.
On Kalshi, Pro Football Top 100 List: Top 5 Ranked Player is priced as a binary contract for each eligible player outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy YES shares if they believe that player will rank in the top 5, or NO shares if they believe the player will not. The price of YES shares reflects the market's implied probability; higher prices indicate stronger confidence in a top-5 finish. Prices fluctuate based on new information, injury reports, performance updates, and shifting trader sentiment leading up to the list's official release.
The market resolves on Sep 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Pro Football Top 100 List announcement. Each outcome contract settles based on whether that player appears in the final top-5 ranking published by the authoritative source. Traders holding YES shares on a player who finishes in the top 5 receive the full payout; those holding NO shares on that player receive nothing. Conversely, YES holders on players outside the top 5 receive nothing, while NO holders receive the full payout.
Several catalysts can shift odds before Sep 9, 2026. Major injuries or recoveries to star players will reshape rankings expectations. Standout playoff performances or postseason awards can elevate a player's profile. Trade announcements or free-agency moves may alter perceived impact. Media rankings, expert commentary, and leaked Top 100 voting patterns influence trader sentiment. Contract extensions or franchise developments can signal organizational confidence. Late-season statistical surges or declines also move probabilities. Any official statement from the list's organizers about voting criteria or timeline can trigger repricing across all outcomes.