TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Sam Darnold
- Kalshi
Sam Darnold - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 3, 2026
Closed: Aug 23, 1:22 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The NFL Top 100 List for 2026 will place one or more designated players in the upper-middle tier of the rankings. This broader recognition captures strong performers who rank among the league's most talented players.
Kalshi
If Josh Allen is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lamar Jackson is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Daniels is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake Maye is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Hurts is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Burrow is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penei Sewell is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Purdy is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Williams is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dak Prescott is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Mahomes is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bo Nix is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trevor Lawrence is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Myles Garrett is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saquon Barkley is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Stafford is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ja'Marr Chase is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Jefferson is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pat Surtain II is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If T.J. Watt is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Anderson Jr. is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derek Stingley Jr. is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Darnold is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grey Zabel is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lane Johnson is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maxx Crosby is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Bowers is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danielle Hunter is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jahmyr Gibbs is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tristan Wirfs is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nico Collins is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Budda Baker is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CeeDee Lamb is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nik Bonitto is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Puka Nacua is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Carter is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trent Williams is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quinyon Mitchell is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jared Verse is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Derwin James Jr. is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bijan Robinson is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trey McBride is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian McCaffrey is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Khalil Mack is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Gonzalez is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Cook III is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jessie Bates III is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Sweat is ranked in the Top 25 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks typically focus on game outcomes and player performance metrics, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs about the final Pro Football Top 100 List rankings. Prediction markets often incorporate broader information—including expert analysis, fan voting patterns, and media coverage—making them a distinct pricing mechanism. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional oddsmakers on which players deserve top-25 recognition.
On Kalshi, each player outcome in the top-25 ranking market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that player earning a top-25 spot. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on order flow, new information about player performance, injury updates, and shifts in expert consensus. Traders can buy or sell shares at the current bid-ask spread, with prices ranging from near zero to near 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percentage-point implied probability. As the resolution date approaches, prices typically converge toward the actual outcome.
The market resolves on Sep 9, 2026 following the official release of the Pro Football Top 100 List. Resolution is determined by the final published rankings from the authoritative source. Each player outcome resolves to either yes or no based on whether that player appears in the top 25 of the official list. Traders should monitor announcements from the Pro Football Top 100 organization for the exact release timing and any updates that could affect the final rankings before the market closes.
Key catalysts include player performance during the current season, major injuries or recoveries, playoff success or elimination, and expert commentary on player rankings. Award voting patterns—such as All-Pro selections or Pro Bowl voting—often influence the Top 100 List. Trade announcements, contract extensions, and coaching changes can also shift market expectations. Media coverage and analyst rankings published closer to the list release date typically drive significant price movement. Additionally, any official hints or previews from the Pro Football Top 100 organization may trigger rapid repricing as traders adjust their probability estimates.
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