TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason
Total volume:
$8,136
Volume 24h:
$0
0%
Liquidity:
$3,089
17%
Open interest:
$5
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
These markets assess whether individual NFL teams will clinch a playoff spot in the 2026-27 season. Both platforms cover all 32 NFL teams with identical binary outcomes (Yes/No), but differ in their resolution mechanics and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes explicit mathematical elimination, cancellation, and deadline-based resolution logic absent from Kalshi. Kalshi's resolution criteria are outcome-only (team qualifies or does not), while Polymarket's criteria include process-based triggers (elimination, postponement, confirmation deadline).Hero Tip:
Traders on Polymarket should hedge against early mathematical elimination and monitor the January 24, 2027 deadline for full playoff field confirmation. Kalshi traders should assume standard NFL playoff qualification rules without early-exit or cancellation scenarios. For teams with low playoff probability, Polymarket may resolve No earlier than Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves Yes only if team clinches a playoff spot per NFL rules by January 24, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Resolves No if: (1) team is mathematically eliminated at any point, (2) playoffs are cancelled or postponed beyond the deadline, or (3) full 14-team field is not officially confirmed by deadline. Key Quote: 'If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Resolves Yes if team is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers; resolves No otherwise. No explicit handling of mathematical elimination, cancellation, postponement, or confirmation deadlines. Resolution is purely outcome-based on final playoff roster. Key Quote: 'If [Team] is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.