TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$195,145,316

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,168,434

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,731,064,451

482,647

Markets across

36,631

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,924

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason
kalshi
polymarket

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

Total volume:
$3,151,135
Volume 24h:
$46,175
69%
Liquidity:
$157,657
15%
Open interest:
$1,611,034
0.24%

San Francisco 49ers

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 25, 2027

Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 20% 79 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Francisco 49ers

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 4.9¢
0.9¢
$4,766
$5,454
0.1%
69%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

San Francisco

Trade
92%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$46,892
0.08%
14%
$32,832
2mo 3w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
92.4%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Kansas City

Trade
92%
2%
Yes 92¢No 11¢
3¢
N/A
$40,172
3%
12%
$27,794
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Kansas City Chiefs

Trade
91%
1%
Yes 92¢No 11¢
3¢
$4,327
$2,146
11%
38%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
91.9%
Yes 92¢No 11¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Buffalo Bills

Trade
92%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
2¢
$3,441
$3,675
0%
17%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

Buffalo

Trade
90%
Yes 92¢No 9¢
1¢
N/A
$33,645
0%
0.43%
$25,346
2mo 3w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
90.2%
Yes 92.5¢No 9¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Jacksonville

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 14¢
2¢
N/A
$35,774
0.16%
8%
$20,981
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Jacksonville Jaguars

Trade
87%
1%
Yes 87¢No 14¢
1¢
$3,479
$4,894
0.43%
5%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
87.8%
Yes 87.5¢No 14¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Baltimore

Trade
86%
Yes 86¢No 15¢
1¢
N/A
$32,349
0.12%
12%
$17,646
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Baltimore Ravens

Trade
85%
1%
Yes 86¢No 17¢
3¢
$4,680
$11,739
0.54%
4%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
85.6%
Yes 86¢No 16¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Minnesota

Trade
79%
Yes 80¢No 22¢
2¢
N/A
$95,563
2%
12%
$50,210
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Minnesota Vikings

Trade
79%
1%
Yes 80¢No 22¢
2¢
$6,308
$5,286
0%
36%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
79%
Yes 80¢No 22¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

New England Patriots

Trade
73%
Yes 73¢No 27.1¢
0.1¢
$5,928
$6,915
2%
30%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

New England

Trade
72%
Yes 74¢No 28¢
2¢
N/A
$58,232
0.01%
10%
$31,010
2mo 3w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
72.1%
Yes 73.5¢No 27.6¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Denver Broncos

Trade
73%
2%
Yes 73¢No 28¢
1¢
$5,245
$5,796
3%
10%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Denver

Trade
72%
Yes 73¢No 28¢
1¢
N/A
$41,001
0.4%
28%
$21,710
2mo 3w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
72.1%
Yes 73¢No 28¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Los Angeles R

Trade
72%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
1¢
N/A
$63,401
0.37%
15%
$40,813
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Los Angeles Rams

Trade
72%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
1¢
$5,224
$8,361
0.64%
75%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
71.9%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Cincinnati

Trade
66%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
N/A
$18,481
0%
15%
$10,417
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Cincinnati Bengals

Trade
66%
2%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
$6,890
$3,337
0%
20%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
65.9%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Detroit Lions

Trade
66%
1%
Yes 67¢No 36¢
3¢
$4,564
$2,478
2%
56%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Detroit

Trade
64%
Yes 64¢No 37¢
1¢
N/A
$26,861
0.32%
12%
$15,892
2mo 3w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
64.1%
Yes 65.5¢No 36.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Seattle

Trade
62%
10%
Yes 60¢No 41¢
1¢
N/A
$43,329
2%
9%
$24,735
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

Seattle Seahawks

Trade
59%
3%
Yes 60¢No 42¢
2¢
$4,624
$5,507
3%
52%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
61.7%
Yes 60¢No 41.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Chicago Bears

Trade
56%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
$5,020
$6,934
5%
53%
N/A
2mo 2w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
54.1%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 25 of 64

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the San Francisco 49ers qualifying for the 2027 NFL Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket gives a 94.0% probability to the 49ers making the postseason. This prediction market resolves based on whether Washington is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers. Keep an eye on the final NFL regular season games concluding on January 24, 2027, as that date determines playoff eligibility and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes explicit mathematical elimination, cancellation, and deadline-based resolution logic absent from Kalshi. Kalshi's resolution criteria are outcome-only (team qualifies or does not), while Polymarket's criteria include process-based triggers (elimination, postponement, confirmation deadline).Hero tip: Traders on Polymarket should hedge against early mathematical elimination and monitor the January 24, 2027 deadline for full playoff field confirmation. Kalshi traders should assume standard NFL playoff qualification rules without early-exit or cancellation scenarios. For teams with low playoff probability, Polymarket may resolve No earlier than Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves Yes only if team clinches a playoff spot per NFL rules by January 24, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Resolves No if: (1) team is mathematically eliminated at any point, (2) playoffs are cancelled or postponed beyond the deadline, or (3) full 14-team field is not officially confirmed by deadline. Key Quote: 'If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if team is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers; resolves No otherwise. No explicit handling of mathematical elimination, cancellation, postponement, or confirmation deadlines. Resolution is purely outcome-based on final playoff roster. Key Quote: 'If [Team] is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each team's market resolves to Yes if that team qualifies as one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers for the 2026-27 season. Qualification is determined by regular season performance, with division winners and wild card teams earning playoff berths according to standard Pro Football playoff selection procedures. A team's playoff qualification status is independent of other teams' outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks a prediction market for the NFL playoff race, aggregating data to show a consensus view of which teams are most likely to qualify for the postseason. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms exceeds $3,151,096, with $27,547 traded in the last 24 hours. The market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional sports analysis. Polymarket currently favors Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? with a chance of 95.5%, while Kalshi also indicates Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? is likely to make the playoffs at 92.0%.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when considering the wisdom of the crowd. Typically, the 3.5 between the two types of odds narrows as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential value for informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity—the volume of trading activity—can also play a role, as lower liquidity can lead to greater price volatility. Additionally, differing interpretations of news and information among traders on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across platforms.

This market resolves around Jan 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL playoff qualifiers are verified against credible public reporting. The market will determine which teams successfully make the postseason based on the official results of the NFL season. The resolution will reflect the teams that have earned a spot in the playoffs through their regular season performance and any tie-breaking procedures as defined by the NFL. Traders can monitor the progress of the NFL season and adjust their positions accordingly as the playoff picture becomes clearer.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance, coaching changes, and significant trades are all potential catalysts. Major upsets during games, particularly those involving teams currently considered playoff contenders, will likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team standings, coupled with analyses of strength of schedule, can also influence trader sentiment. As the season progresses and the playoff picture becomes more defined, the market will react to these developments, offering opportunities for traders to capitalize on new information.