TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.1b

24H VOL:

$132,500,164

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,797,847,289

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,760,774,483

510,905

Markets across

38,392

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,852

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Seahawks 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will Seahawks win total exceed 2026?

Total volume:
$358,141
Volume 24h:
$58,173N/A
Liquidity:
$21,760
27%
Open interest:
$215,604
0.21%

4+ wins

 - Kalshi

4+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 15, 2027

Will the Seattle pro football team win at least 4 games this season?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 9% Illiquid market 86 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$1,008
0%
0%
$966
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 6¢
6¢
N/A
$4,925
0%
0%
$4,116
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$773
0%
0%
$754
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
94%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$1,101
0%
0%
$595
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
87%
Yes 92¢No 15¢
7¢
N/A
$2,940
0%
1%
$2,312
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 24¢
2¢
N/A
$9,573
0%
2%
$4,259
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
74%
Yes 75¢No 27¢
2¢
$6,634
$1,319
0%
4%
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
61%
3%
Yes 62¢No 43¢
5¢
N/A
$31,433
0.04%
2%
$21,740
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
57%
1%
Yes 59¢No 44¢
3¢
$5,410
$1,222
2%
12%
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
41%
2%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
N/A
$90,971
0.21%
1%
$54,390
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
39%
Yes 40¢No 63¢
3¢
$4,651
$1,001
0.08%
127%
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
21%
Yes 22¢No 80¢
2¢
$4,564
$753
0%
73%
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
20%
Yes 23¢No 80¢
3¢
N/A
$86,502
0.32%
3%
$53,079
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

12.5+ Wins

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
$501
$1,202
0.67%
5%
N/A
3mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
7%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$56,966
0%
1%
$26,750
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 7¢No 98¢
5¢
N/A
$36,270
0%
0.44%
$21,227
2mo 3w 5d
active
kalshi

3+ wins

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$279
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

15+ wins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,015
N/A
N/A
$9,419
2mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,577
N/A
N/A
$12,577
2mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,254
N/A
N/A
$3,088
2mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the Seattle Seahawks’ performance in the 2026 NFL regular season, specifically forecasting whether the team will win at least 4 games. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 98.0% that they will achieve this. This aggregated view incorporates data from both platforms and will resolve based on the team’s official win count in the 2026-27 regular season, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the final game of the regular season, scheduled for January 10, 2027, as the outcome will directly determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers markets for every possible win total, while Polymarket focuses on specific thresholds (e.g., over/under 8.5 wins).Hero tip: Diversify your positions across platforms to capture different aspects of the Seahawks' potential performance. Consider the implied probabilities and potential payouts on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve based on exceeding a specific win threshold (e.g., 8.5, 9.5). "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve if the Seahawks win *at least* a specific number of games. For example, a market for 10 wins resolves 'Yes' if they win 10 or more. "If the Seattle Pro Football team wins at least X games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the Seattle Pro Football team's total regular season wins during the 2026-27 season. Resolution occurs when the team completes its regular season schedule. Each outcome corresponds to a minimum win threshold, ranging from 1 to 17 wins. The market resolves to Yes for each outcome if the team achieves at least that threshold of wins during the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Seahawks 2026 win total market across multiple prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the aggregated volume is $358,141, with $524 traded in the last 24 hours. By combining data from these sources, we provide a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the Seahawks’ win total will land. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi utilizes a different mechanism to determine probabilities. This allows for a broader and more robust prediction than any single platform could offer.

Prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook lines, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the Seahawks’ potential performance. While both aim to predict the outcome, prediction markets tend to incorporate more information and are less susceptible to biases found in traditional betting. The difference in odds can also depend on the timing; prediction markets may react more quickly to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the team.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Seahawks 2026 win total market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading mechanisms, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a Seahawks win total of over 8.5 games at 74.0%, while Kalshi leans toward the team winning at least 2 games at 98.0%. These differences can also arise from varying interpretations of available information and differing risk appetites among traders on each platform. Volume differences also play a role, as higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Seattle Seahawks in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the outcome of this market. This includes any regular season games played, and does not include any postseason games. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified against credible sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major player acquisitions or injuries to key Seahawks players would undoubtedly shift expectations and influence trading activity. Coaching changes, performance in the upcoming NFL draft, and even preseason game results could all contribute to price movements. Broader NFL news, such as rule changes or shifts in league-wide competitive balance, could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the Seahawks’ potential for success in the 2026 season is likely to move the market.