TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.5b
24H VOL:
$251,268,536
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,864,438,999
455,542
Markets across
34,846
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,830
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This market tracks which team will win the NFC West division in the 2026 NFL season, as determined by official NFL standings. Currently, the consensus probability favors the San Francisco 49ers to win, at 80.2%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will be resolved using Official NFL information and credible reporting. The Seattle Seahawks are currently the second-most likely team to win the division, with a 12% probability. Keep an eye on the outcomes of games played throughout the 2026 season, as the market will resolve to the official division champion declared by the NFL by January 18, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFC West Division winner for the 2026-27 season is determined by regular season performance. Each team's market resolves to Yes if that team finishes with the best record in the NFC West Division. Only one team can win the division, and the winner is determined by standard Pro Football divisional standings and tiebreaker rules.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and profit, while this market incentivizes participants to express their true beliefs about the outcome. You may find that the implied probability of a team winning the NFC West, as reflected in the price on Polymarket or Kalshi, differs from the odds offered by conventional sportsbooks by a 0.5. These discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? at 79.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC West Division? at 79.0%. These differences create arbitrage opportunities for traders who can capitalize on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Jan 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the NFC West division, as determined by the official NFL standings at the end of the regular season, will be considered the winner of this market. The outcome will be based on the official results published by the NFL and widely reported by major sports news outlets. No further information regarding resolution criteria is available.
Numerous events could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance during the season, coaching changes, and even significant trades could all shift the probabilities. A strong winning streak by a team currently considered an underdog could drive up its price on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Conversely, a key injury to a star player on a favored team could cause its price to fall. Monitoring NFL news and team performance will be crucial for traders looking to anticipate market movements.