TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This market tracks which team will win the Pro Football NFC North Division in the 2026 NFL season. Currently, the consensus probability of the Minnesota Vikings winning the division is 45.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on Official NFL information and credible reporting. The Detroit Lions are currently the second most likely team to win, with a 28.0% probability. Keep an eye on the NFL standings as the regular season concludes, with resolution expected around January 18, 2027, to determine the official NFC North champion.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFC North Division winner for the 2026-27 season is determined by regular season performance. Each team's market resolves to Yes if that team finishes with the best record in the NFC North Division. Only one team can win the division, and the winner is determined by standard Pro Football divisional standings and tiebreaker rules.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC North division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on preseason expectations, the price in this market will dynamically adjust based on factors like player injuries, team performance, and public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly closer to the event.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, market liquidity, and the specific rules governing each platform all contribute. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC North Division? at 44.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC North Division? at 45.0%, demonstrating these differing views.
This market resolves around Jan 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The NFC North champion will be determined by the team with the best regular season record within the division. The final standings will be sourced from official NFL results and verified against credible public sources. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for all other teams, reflecting the definitive outcome of the NFC North championship race.
Numerous events could significantly impact the price of this market. Key player injuries to quarterbacks or other star players on any of the NFC North teams would be a major catalyst. Unexpected team performance, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, could also shift probabilities. Significant trades or coaching changes could also influence the market. Furthermore, any news impacting the overall competitive balance of the league, or even the health of key players across the NFL, could indirectly affect this market’s price action.