TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Jaxson Dart 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards
polymarket
kalshi

How many passing yards will Jaxson Dart have?

Total volume:
$1,659,121
Volume 24h:
$1,624,943
6,105%
Liquidity:
$1,509
24%
Open interest:
$1,156,000
375%

3,150.5+ passing yards

 - Polymarket

3,150.5+ passing yards - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 27, 2027

Will Jaxson Dart have 3,150.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 4.9¢ buys you 2,041 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $2,041 | Net Profit: $1,941 Multiplier: 20.41x | ROI: 1,941% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 104 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

3,150.5+ passing yards

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 4.9¢No 98.1¢
3¢
$163
$586
0%
9%
N/A
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

2,900.5+ passing yards

Trade
3%
3%
Yes 4.7¢No 99.3¢
4¢
$268
$683
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

3,650.5+ passing yards

Trade
3%
Yes 4.9¢No 99.8¢
4.7¢
$194
$508
0%
22%
N/A
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

2,650.5+ passing yards

Trade
2%
Yes 3.1¢No 99.8¢
2.9¢
$861
$393
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

3,400.5+ passing yards

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99.9¢
4.9¢
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 2w
active
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 325+

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$310,270
N/A
N/A
$151,847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 250+

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$204,173
N/A
N/A
$144,443
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 300+

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$173,267
N/A
N/A
$101,443
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 225+

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160,640
N/A
N/A
$129,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 200+

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,908
N/A
N/A
$49,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 275+

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,885
N/A
N/A
$35,128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 175+

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,486
N/A
N/A
$47,875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 150+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,822
N/A
N/A
$29,254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 100+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,362
N/A
N/A
$1,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 75+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 75+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140,362
N/A
N/A
$137,357
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 150+

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,542
N/A
N/A
$65,365
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Stafford: 350+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,594
N/A
N/A
$46,264
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 200+

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,677
N/A
N/A
$48,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 225+

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,341
N/A
N/A
$39,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 125+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,019
N/A
N/A
$20,417
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 175+

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,670
N/A
N/A
$17,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart: 100+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,589
N/A
N/A
$20,627
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 200+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,155
N/A
N/A
$10,859
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 150+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,087
N/A
N/A
$7,501
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether Jaxson Dart will achieve 3,150.5+ passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 3.5%. A secondary outcome, that Dart will have 2,900.5+ passing yards, is currently priced at 2.8%. Resolution will be based on official NFL data, with a ‘No’ resolution if Dart does not play, and potential use of credible reporting to confirm the outcome. This market will resolve based on data available after the conclusion of the 2026-27 NFL regular season, with a resolution date estimate of January 27, 2027, so monitor Dart’s performance and team situation leading up to that date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets forecast total season passing yards, while Kalshi markets forecast passing yards in a single game.Hero tip: Treat the Polymarket and Kalshi markets as entirely separate events. Kalshi markets are limited to a single game, while Polymarket markets cover the entire 2026-27 NFL regular season.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on total passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If Dart does not play, the market resolves to 'No'. Resolution source is official NFL data.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on passing yards in a single game (New York Giants vs. Los Angeles Rams on Sep 21, 2026). Resolution is triggered if Dart exceeds the specified yardage in that game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Jaxson Dart records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jaxson Dart does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Jaxson Dart recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified quarterback records the stated passing yard threshold in the New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams game scheduled for September 21, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the yardage threshold being evaluated.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on how many passing yards Jaxson Dart will achieve during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,659,121, with $1,616,302 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in the potential performance of this player. The dashboard displays price discovery across both venues, allowing users to understand the collective prediction regarding the Jaxson Dart passing yards market. This provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or sentiment not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The efficiency of this market means that prices can quickly adjust to new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional odds, though this isn't always the case.

This market resolves around Jan 27, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for Jaxson Dart’s 2026-27 regular season passing yards are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total, as recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for the final statistics to understand how this market will settle. The resolution will be based on the official, publicly available data and will reflect Dart’s performance throughout the season.

Several events could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding Jaxson Dart’s health, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in his team’s offensive strategy, coaching staff, or the performance of his receiving corps could also influence predictions. Additionally, pre-season performance and any significant developments in the broader NFL landscape, such as rule changes affecting passing offenses, could shift market sentiment. Strong performances or struggles during the season will also be key catalysts for price adjustments in this market.