TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Pro Football: Jaguars 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the Jaguars exceed their 2026 win total?

Total volume:
$419,632
Volume 24h:
$77
100%
Liquidity:
$5,517
32%
Open interest:
$331,531
0%

6+ wins

 - Kalshi

6+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the Jacksonville pro football team win at least 6 games this season?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 8% Illiquid market 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$2,169
0%
0%
$2,018
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$6,424
0%
0.02%
$2,704
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
97%
1%
Yes 97¢No 7¢
4¢
N/A
$32,099
0.03%
0.22%
$18,655
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$5,861
0%
0%
$5,860
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

7.5+ Wins

Trade
92%
1%
Yes 95¢No 11¢
6¢
$627
$120
0%
50%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
90%
Yes 92¢No 13¢
5¢
N/A
$20,270
0%
10%
$11,954
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
89%
1%
Yes 92¢No 15¢
7¢
$421
$130
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
84%
1%
Yes 88¢No 20¢
8¢
$220
$234
0%
21%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
82%
Yes 85¢No 20¢
5¢
N/A
$58,645
0%
4%
$30,995
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
71%
1%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$31,350
0.16%
4%
$21,129
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
70%
2%
Yes 71¢No 31¢
2¢
$2,079
$461
2%
6%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
54%
Yes 55¢No 47¢
2¢
N/A
$214,687
0%
724%
$202,266
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
51%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
$2,170
$178
0%
148%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
32%
Yes 36¢No 72¢
8¢
N/A
$34,444
0%
6%
$28,984
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
16%
Yes 21¢No 83¢
4¢
N/A
$7,804
0.14%
4%
$2,898
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

16+ wins

Trade
7%
Yes 6¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$929
0%
119%
$929
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

15+ wins

Trade
7%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$3,215
0%
0%
$2,538
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

4+ wins

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$600
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

3+ wins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

17 wins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the Jacksonville Jaguars’ win total for the 2026 NFL regular season, specifically forecasting whether the team will win at least 7 games. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 99.0% chance of this outcome. This prediction market will resolve based on the Jacksonville Pro Football team’s performance in the 2026-27 regular season, as defined by winning at least 5 games. Keep an eye on the final regular season game schedule, concluding on February 16, 2027, to see if the Jaguars reach this win threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses a 'greater than' threshold (e.g., >7.5 wins), while Kalshi uses a 'greater than or equal to' threshold (e.g., >=1 win).Hero tip: Pay close attention to the threshold when comparing markets. A 7.5 win over/under is different from a 8 win total.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if the Jaguars have *more than* a specified number of wins (e.g., >7.5). "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the Jaguars have *at least* a specified number of wins (e.g., >=1). Multiple markets exist for different win thresholds, all resolving if the team reaches or exceeds that threshold.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The Jacksonville Pro Football team's 2026-27 regular season win totals are divided into seventeen separate markets, each representing a cumulative win threshold from 1 through 17 games. Each market resolves to Yes if the team achieves at least the specified number of wins during the regular season. For example, the 5+ wins market resolves to Yes if the team wins five or more games, while the 12+ wins market resolves to Yes only if the team wins twelve or more games. These markets operate on a cascading basis where achieving a higher threshold automatically satisfies all lower thresholds. Resolution is based on the official final regular season win total recorded by the league at the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Jaguars 2026 win total market, offering a consensus view of likely outcomes. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms exceeds $419,632, with $77 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will the Jacksonville Jaguars have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 92.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Jacksonville pro football team win at least 7 games this season? at 98.0%. This allows traders to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' stands on how many games the Jaguars will win in the 2026 NFL season.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate the insights of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there is significant uncertainty or incomplete information. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing due to their ability to hedge bets and manage risk differently. The current volume of $419,632 suggests strong interest in this market.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Jaguars 2026 win total market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence trading behavior. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform can affect price discovery. While both platforms aim to predict the same outcome, these differences in market dynamics can lead to temporary variations in the odds offered.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified win total. The resolution will be based on the team’s regular season performance, including any games impacted by unforeseen circumstances, as determined by the NFL’s official records.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Major player acquisitions or injuries to key players on the Jaguars, or within their division, would likely cause price fluctuations. Coaching changes or significant shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Unexpected performance in the 2025 NFL season, particularly by the Jaguars or their divisional opponents, will heavily influence predictions. Any news related to the overall health of the NFL or changes to league rules could also affect the volume of $419,632 and the odds in this market.