TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Giants 2026 Win Total
polymarket
kalshi

Will the Giants exceed their 2026 win total?

Total volume:
$718,495
Volume 24h:
$1,375
99%
Liquidity:
$9,317
52%
Open interest:
$360,418
0.04%

4+ wins

 - Kalshi

4+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the New York G pro football team win at least 4 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$53,545
0%
0.2%
$52,923
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
92%
Yes 94¢No 12¢
6¢
N/A
$12,618
0%
11%
$7,267
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
82%
5%
Yes 81¢No 27¢
8¢
N/A
$22,522
0.03%
5%
$12,448
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

5.5+ Wins

Trade
77%
1%
Yes 79¢No 25¢
4¢
$779
$120
0%
20%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
polymarket

6.5+ Wins

Trade
62%
1%
Yes 63¢No 40¢
3¢
$915
$1,068
12%
31%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
58%
Yes 63¢No 42¢
5¢
N/A
$86,997
0.42%
5%
$33,137
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
46%
1%
Yes 45¢No 60¢
5¢
N/A
$241,595
0.08%
13%
$116,341
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

7.5+ Wins

Trade
42%
1%
Yes 43¢No 59¢
2¢
$3,917
$382
8%
185%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
N/A
$128,975
0%
8%
$52,775
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
28%
1%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
$3,344
$1,354
0%
92%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$56,622
0.14%
12%
$18,848
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$362
$60
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
N/A
$45,905
0.06%
5%
$27,540
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
5%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$29,929
0%
0.69%
$19,661
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$17,750
0%
0%
$9,775
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$9,666
0%
0%
$1,646
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

15+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,656
0%
0%
$4,407
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$596
N/A
N/A
$591
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$482
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

3+ wins

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$307
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,793
N/A
N/A
$1,793
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$476
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the New York Giants professional football team will win at least 4 games during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi—indicates a 99.0% chance of the Giants achieving this win total. Resolution will be determined based on the Giants’ official regular season record, as defined by the NFL. Keep an eye on the final game of the regular season, scheduled for January 3rd, 2027, as the outcome will directly impact whether the Giants meet or exceed the four-win threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different platforms use 'greater than' vs. 'greater than or equal to' for win total thresholds, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Carefully compare the exact win thresholds and resolution criteria across platforms before trading. A small difference in wording can significantly impact market outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Giants have *more than* a specified number of wins. For example, a market asking 'Will the New York Giants have more than 5.5 wins?' requires at least 6.5 wins (i.e., 7 wins) to resolve 'Yes'. "Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Giants win *at least* a specified number of games. For example, a market asking if the Giants win at least 6 games resolves 'Yes' with 6 wins. Multiple markets exist for different win thresholds (>=1, >=2, etc.).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins accumulated by the New York G Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each market corresponds to a specific win threshold: the team must achieve at least that threshold to resolve to Yes. For example, the 5+ wins market resolves Yes if New York G wins five or more games; the 12+ wins market resolves Yes if New York G wins twelve or more games. The resolution is based on the official final regular season win total recorded by the league at the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season. All thresholds range from a minimum of one win through a maximum of seventeen wins.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Giants 2026 win total market across multiple prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the aggregated volume is $718,495, with $786 traded in the last 24 hours. We pull data from each exchange to provide a comprehensive look at where traders stand on the likely number of wins for the Giants in the 2026 NFL season. The dashboard displays the probabilities and trading activity from each platform, offering a unique perspective on market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate diverse information and expert opinions. However, both types of odds aim to predict the same underlying probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move ahead of sportsbooks in identifying shifts in expectations, particularly as new information emerges.

On Polymarket, the current price reflects the aggregate belief of its traders, while Kalshi has its own distinct user base and trading dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can result in differing probabilities for the same event. Factors like user demographics, trading fees, and the specific incentives offered on each platform can all contribute to these price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of volume on each platform can impact price discovery, meaning that a larger market may be more efficient at incorporating new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the New York Giants have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 77.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the New York G pro football team win at least 4 games this season? at 99.0%.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the New York Giants in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the regular season games played and any officially recognized outcomes. We rely on publicly available data to verify the result and ensure a transparent and accurate resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major player acquisitions or injuries to key Giants players would undoubtedly shift expectations. Coaching changes, performance in the upcoming NFL draft, and even the performance of other teams in the NFC East could all impact the perceived likelihood of the Giants achieving a certain win total. Any news that alters the broader outlook for the team's competitiveness will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price movement of this market. Unexpected developments during the 2025 season will also play a key role.