TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Eagles 2026 Win Total
polymarket
kalshi

Will the Eagles exceed their 2026 win total?

Total volume:
$1,736,397
Volume 24h:
$14,760
77%
Liquidity:
$4,803
22%
Open interest:
$1,415,322
0.65%

3+ wins

 - Kalshi

3+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 3 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% Illiquid market 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$1,748
0%
0.43%
$875
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
97%
1%
Yes 98¢No 7¢
5¢
N/A
$7,383
40%
115%
$3,471
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
82%
Yes 91¢No 17¢
8¢
N/A
$4,513
0%
16%
$3,609
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
71%
Yes 78¢No 29¢
7¢
N/A
$23,223
5%
9%
$18,197
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
60%
4%
Yes 62¢No 40¢
2¢
N/A
$38,074
17%
56%
$22,782
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
51%
1%
Yes 52¢No 49¢
1¢
N/A
$45,326
2%
58%
$22,491
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
35%
Yes 35¢No 66¢
1¢
$1,590
$2,708
0.35%
18%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50.1%
Yes 43.5¢No 57.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
34%
1%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$490,200
0.36%
140%
$423,263
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
20%
1%
Yes 33¢No 80¢
13¢
$310
$2,375
2%
44%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
34%
Yes 33.5¢No 73.5¢
Avg: 7¢Max: 13¢
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
20%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$412,031
0.18%
143%
$339,179
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
17%
3%
Yes 18¢No 85¢
3¢
$664
$1,669
2%
47%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20%
Yes 19.5¢No 82.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
14%
3%
Yes 15¢No 88¢
3¢
N/A
$568,363
0.02%
2%
$483,391
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 94¢
4¢
$1,468
$956
0%
24%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14%
Yes 12.5¢No 91¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$93,052
0.15%
132%
$66,830
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

12.5+ Wins

Trade
5%
Yes 7.1¢No 96.5¢
3.6¢
$770
$1,161
0%
23%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 7.1¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3.6¢
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$15,941
0%
13%
$10,234
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,882
1%
2%
$5,150
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

15+ wins

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,244
N/A
N/A
$6,351
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,646
N/A
N/A
$7,024
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,767
N/A
N/A
$2,340
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the Philadelphia Eagles will win at least 4 games during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 99.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the Eagles’ official regular season record as defined by the NFL. Keep an eye on the Eagles’ performance as the regular season progresses, with resolution expected following the conclusion of the regular season on February 16, 2027.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets resolve on exceeding a win total (e.g., >8.5), while Kalshi markets resolve on meeting or exceeding a win total (e.g., >=1).Hero tip: When comparing markets, consider the difference between 'greater than' and 'greater than or equal to'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets ask if the Eagles will have *more than* a certain number of wins. Resolution requires exceeding the threshold. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number."
  • Kalshi: Markets ask if the Eagles will have *at least* a certain number of wins. Resolution requires meeting or exceeding the threshold. "If the Philadelphia Pro Football team wins at least 1 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins accumulated by the Philadelphia Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each market corresponds to a specific win threshold: the team must achieve at least that threshold to resolve to Yes. For example, the 5+ wins market resolves Yes if Philadelphia wins five or more games; the 12+ wins market resolves Yes if Philadelphia wins twelve or more games. The resolution is based on the official final regular season win total recorded by the league at the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season. All thresholds range from a minimum of one win through a maximum of seventeen wins.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Eagles 2026 win total market by aggregating trading activity across both platforms. Currently, the combined volume is $1,736,397, with $12,033 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 34.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 3 games this season? at 99.0%. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of where the crowd believes the Eagles' win total will land, offering a view beyond any single exchange.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Typically, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, though sportsbooks benefit from established brand recognition and wider accessibility. The current implied probability in this market differs from traditional sportsbooks, potentially indicating a different assessment of the Eagles' prospects.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the specific market structures—how contracts are designed and traded—can influence price discovery. For example, differing fee structures or contract sizes might attract different types of traders. The volume on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same underlying event, as seen in this market.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Philadelphia Eagles in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified win line. The resolution will be based on standard NFL regular season game results, and any potential tie games will be handled according to NFL rules, ultimately determining the outcome of this market.

Numerous factors could influence the price of this market. Significant player injuries to key Eagles players, coaching changes, or major acquisitions through trades or free agency would all likely cause movement. Preseason performance and early-season results will also be closely watched. Broader NFL trends, such as rule changes or shifts in league-wide offensive or defensive strategies, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding the team's ownership or financial situation could also impact trader sentiment and, therefore, the price of this market.