TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$195,145,316

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,168,434

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,731,064,451

482,647

Markets across

36,631

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,924

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Cowboys 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the Cowboys exceed 2026 wins?

Total volume:
$457,148
Volume 24h:
$25,687N/A
Liquidity:
$11,309
31%
Open interest:
$245,171
2%

5+ wins

 - Kalshi

5+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 5 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% 92 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 4¢
3¢
N/A
$13,347
0%
0.05%
$9,188
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

3+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$986
0%
0.11%
$833
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$2,157
0%
0%
$1,397
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
94%
Yes 95¢No 9¢
4¢
N/A
$6,027
0%
0.03%
$3,853
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
85%
Yes 85¢No 18¢
3¢
N/A
$21,053
0%
0.13%
$13,038
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

7.5+ Wins

Trade
71%
Yes 72¢No 30¢
2¢
$3,317
$420
13%
15%
N/A
4mo 1d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
68%
2%
Yes 70¢No 33¢
3¢
N/A
$11,313
0.01%
17%
$6,159
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
54%
Yes 57¢No 46¢
3¢
N/A
$53,075
0.07%
4%
$28,203
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
53%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
1¢
$3,608
$399
3%
68%
N/A
4mo 1d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
38%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
N/A
$153,951
0.02%
2%
$63,756
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
32%
Yes 33¢No 69¢
2¢
$2,796
$855
1%
428%
N/A
4mo 1d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
19%
Yes 21¢No 83¢
4¢
$914
$400
0%
59%
N/A
4mo 1d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
18%
Yes 21¢No 82¢
3¢
N/A
$89,836
0%
6%
$43,842
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
14%
3%
Yes 15¢No 88¢
3¢
$674
$110
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 1d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
8%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$46,758
0%
0.65%
$29,942
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
5%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$4,211
0%
0%
$3,536
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$22,892
0%
0.39%
$16,090
3mo 2d
active
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$423
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
$743
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

15+ wins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,412
N/A
N/A
$9,124
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,054
N/A
N/A
$8,727
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,317
N/A
N/A
$6,317
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the Dallas Cowboys’ win total for the 2026 NFL regular season, asking whether the team will win at least 5 games. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket—indicates a 99.0% chance of the Cowboys achieving this outcome. Resolution will be determined by official NFL regular season records, specifically if the team wins at least 13 games in the 2026-27 regular season. Keep an eye on the Cowboys’ performance throughout the 2026 season, with resolution expected around February 16, 2027, following the conclusion of the regular season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses a 'greater than' threshold (e.g., >7.5), while Kalshi uses an 'at least' threshold (e.g., >=7).Hero tip: Consider the difference between 'greater than' and 'at least' when evaluating markets. A small difference in the threshold can significantly impact the probability of resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Cowboys have *more than* a specified number of wins (e.g., 7.5). This means they need at least one win *above* the threshold (8 wins for >7.5).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Cowboys win *at least* a specified number of games (e.g., 7). This means 7 wins is sufficient for resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins accumulated by the Dallas Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each threshold from 1 through 17 wins represents a separate resolution point. A Yes resolution occurs if the team achieves at least the specified number of wins for that particular threshold. For example, the 5-win threshold resolves Yes if Dallas wins 5 or more games; the 12-win threshold resolves Yes if Dallas wins 12 or more games. The final win total determines which thresholds resolve affirmatively and which resolve negatively. All resolutions are based on official regular season records and do not include playoff games.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Cowboys 2026 win total market. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 71.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 5 games this season? at 99.0%. The dashboard aggregates trading volume from both platforms, currently totaling $457,148 with $118 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see a comprehensive view of where the market stands and how opinions are shifting regarding the Cowboys’ performance in the 2026 NFL season.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, while sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks aim to balance action on both sides of a bet and incorporate a profit margin, whereas prediction markets are more focused on accurately forecasting the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more nuanced probabilities and may diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see the implied probabilities in this market adjust more dynamically than traditional sportsbook odds.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the Cowboys’ potential win total. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Differences in volume—Polymarket has seen volume of $457,148—can also contribute to price discrepancies, as lower volume markets are more susceptible to price swings.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Dallas Cowboys in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the market settles on the over or under. This outcome will be based on regular season wins only, excluding any playoff games. Traders can monitor the progress of the Cowboys throughout the 2026 season to assess how the market is likely to resolve.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player acquisitions or injuries to key Cowboys players, coaching changes, or shifts in the overall NFL landscape could all influence trader sentiment. Strong or weak performances by the Cowboys in the 2025 season, as well as the performance of their division rivals, will also be closely watched. Any news regarding rule changes or potential disruptions to the 2026 NFL season could also cause significant movement in the market. Continued trading volume of $118 indicates ongoing interest and potential for price fluctuations.