TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.5b

24H VOL:

$251,268,536

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,864,438,999

455,542

Markets across

34,846

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,830

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Cowboys 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the Cowboys exceed 2026 wins?

Total volume:
$467,456
Volume 24h:
$60,917
40%
Liquidity:
$18,285
1%
Open interest:
$243,476
2%

3+ wins

 - Kalshi

3+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 15, 2027

Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 3 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% Illiquid market 85 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$991
0%
0.51%
$833
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 7¢
5¢
N/A
$13,352
0%
0.04%
$9,193
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$2,157
0%
0%
$1,397
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
84%
Yes 90¢No 15¢
5¢
N/A
$6,301
2%
4%
$3,907
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
79%
Yes 78¢No 28¢
6¢
N/A
$21,120
0.01%
0.32%
$13,054
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
68%
Yes 70¢No 36¢
6¢
N/A
$12,035
3%
6%
$6,200
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

7.5+ Wins

Trade
66%
1%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
$5,092
$487
0%
16%
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
46%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
$7,974
$926
0%
132%
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
44%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
2¢
N/A
$55,679
0%
5%
$28,377
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
N/A
$156,521
0.13%
2%
$63,149
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
23%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
2¢
$3,681
$1,831
0%
114%
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 91¢
3¢
$596
$614
6%
39%
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
N/A
$91,956
0.04%
2%
$42,480
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
9%
Yes 6¢No 97¢
3¢
N/A
$46,774
0%
0%
$29,942
2mo 3w 4d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
4%
Yes 5.9¢No 98¢
3.9¢
$941
$236
16%
50%
N/A
3mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$22,905
0%
0.06%
$16,076
2mo 3w 4d
active
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$423
2mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
$743
2mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

15+ wins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,412
N/A
N/A
$9,124
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,054
N/A
N/A
$8,727
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,317
N/A
N/A
$6,317
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

14+ wins

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,211
N/A
N/A
$3,536
2mo 3w 4d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the Dallas Cowboys’ win total for the 2026 NFL regular season, asking whether the team will win at least 5 games. Currently, the consensus probability of the Cowboys winning at least 5 games is 99.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NFL regular season records. Keep an eye on the outcome of the final regular season games scheduled for January 3rd, 2027, as these will determine the Cowboys’ final win count and the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses a 'greater than' threshold (e.g., >7.5), while Kalshi uses an 'at least' threshold (e.g., >=7).Hero tip: Consider the difference between 'greater than' and 'at least' when evaluating markets. A small difference in the threshold can significantly impact the probability of resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Cowboys have *more than* a specified number of wins (e.g., 7.5). This means they need at least one win *above* the threshold (8 wins for >7.5).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Cowboys win *at least* a specified number of games (e.g., 7). This means 7 wins is sufficient for resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins accumulated by the Dallas Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each threshold from 1 through 17 wins represents a separate resolution point. A Yes resolution occurs if the team achieves at least the specified number of wins for that particular threshold. For example, the 5-win threshold resolves Yes if Dallas wins 5 or more games; the 12-win threshold resolves Yes if Dallas wins 12 or more games. The final win total determines which thresholds resolve affirmatively and which resolve negatively. All resolutions are based on official regular season records and do not include playoff games.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Cowboys 2026 win total market. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 65.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 3 games this season? at 99.0%. The dashboard aggregates trading volume from both platforms, currently totaling $467,455 with $739 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see a comprehensive view of where the market stands and how opinions are shifting regarding the Cowboys’ performance in the 2026 NFL season.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, while sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks aim to balance action on both sides of a bet and incorporate a profit margin, whereas prediction markets are more focused on accurately forecasting the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more nuanced probabilities and may diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see the implied probabilities in this market adjust more dynamically than traditional sportsbook odds.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the Cowboys’ potential win total. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Differences in volume—Polymarket has seen volume of $467,455—can also contribute to price discrepancies, as lower volume markets are more susceptible to price swings.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Dallas Cowboys in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the market settles on the over or under. This outcome will be based on regular season wins only, excluding any playoff games. Traders can monitor the progress of the Cowboys throughout the 2026 season to assess how the market is likely to resolve.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player acquisitions or injuries to key Cowboys players, coaching changes, or shifts in the overall NFL landscape could all influence trader sentiment. Strong or weak performances by the Cowboys in the 2025 season, as well as the performance of their division rivals, will also be closely watched. Any news regarding rule changes or potential disruptions to the 2026 NFL season could also cause significant movement in the market. Continued trading volume of $739 indicates ongoing interest and potential for price fluctuations.