TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Pro Football Coaches Out Before September
kalshi

Pro Football Coaches Out Before September

Volume:
$1,396,034

Sean McDermott

 - Kalshi

Sean McDermott - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sean McDermott

View
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,279
N/A
N/A
$34,688
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Tomlin

99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,270
N/A
N/A
$31,194
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike McDaniel

99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,573
N/A
N/A
$16,696
Settled
No
kalshi

John Harbaugh

99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,403
N/A
N/A
$11,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Gannon

99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,299
N/A
N/A
$4,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Carroll

96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,132
N/A
N/A
$3,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Vrabel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$983,156
N/A
N/A
$405,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt LaFleur

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93,679
N/A
N/A
$14,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Glenn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,365
N/A
N/A
$29,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Sirianni

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,684
N/A
N/A
$11,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Todd Bowles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,368
N/A
N/A
$14,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Shanahan

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,698
N/A
N/A
$12,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Zac Taylor

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,707
N/A
N/A
$11,735
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Macdonald

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,627
N/A
N/A
$3,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Dan Quinn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,162
N/A
N/A
$6,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Steichen

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,649
N/A
N/A
$4,165
Settled
No
kalshi

Sean McVay

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,038
N/A
N/A
$3,464
Settled
No
kalshi

Jim Harbaugh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,556
N/A
N/A
$2,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Reid

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,530
N/A
N/A
$2,919
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Johnson

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,179
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Brian Schottenheimer

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,956
N/A
N/A
$1,688
Settled
No
kalshi

Dave Canales

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,657
N/A
N/A
$1,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin O'Connell

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,579
N/A
N/A
$920
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Coen

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$1,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Sean Payton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,418
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

A head coach from a professional football team departs their position or publicly announces their intention to leave before the start of the 2026 season.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for each head coach who either leaves their position or announces they will leave before September 1, 2026. A departure includes resignation, firing, or public announcement of future departure. Each coach outcome is independent—multiple coaches can leave their positions. Resolution applies to the head coach of each specified NFL team as of the market issuance date.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Sep 1, 2026, at which point all trading stops and the outcome is finalized. Resolution depends on whether one or more NFL head coaches have been terminated, resigned, or otherwise departed from their positions before that deadline. The specific criteria for what qualifies as a coaching departure are defined in the market's official terms. Once the resolution date passes, the contract settles to either YES or NO based on whether the triggering event occurred, and traders receive payouts accordingly.

Several catalysts could shift odds on this market. Mid-season performance struggles, playoff disappointments, or public conflicts between coaches and front offices could increase departure expectations. Coaching contract extensions or public statements of confidence from ownership would likely push odds lower. Off-season coaching searches at other NFL franchises might create openings that tempt current coaches to leave. Injury crises, locker room controversies, or unexpected team turmoil could accelerate coaching changes. Media reports about job security, ownership transitions, or coaching interviews elsewhere would all influence trader sentiment and move the probability reflected in Kalshi's live odds.