TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: Browns 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the Browns win total exceed 2026?

Total volume:
$1,725,119
Volume 24h:
$1,826
97%
Liquidity:
$7,587
49%
Open interest:
$815,344
0.15%

4+ wins

 - Kalshi

4+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 4 games this season?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 8% 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$20,573
0%
5%
$10,144
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
91%
Yes 91¢No 10¢
1¢
N/A
$48,982
0.06%
2%
$19,933
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

4.5+ Wins

Trade
90%
Yes 92¢No 13¢
5¢
$602
$156
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
81%
4%
Yes 82¢No 23¢
5¢
N/A
$289,870
0.08%
0.2%
$238,675
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

5.5+ Wins

Trade
78%
Yes 81¢No 25¢
6¢
$1,970
$108
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
polymarket

6.5+ Wins

Trade
66%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
$2,366
$645
0%
86%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
62%
Yes 63¢No 38¢
1¢
N/A
$139,101
0.13%
2%
$91,230
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 52¢
2¢
N/A
$466,823
0.01%
91%
$31,968
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

7.5+ Wins

Trade
47%
Yes 48¢No 55¢
3¢
$1,690
$475
0%
56%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
34%
1%
Yes 34¢No 71¢
5¢
N/A
$518,902
0.02%
81%
$268,013
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
30%
1%
Yes 31¢No 72¢
3¢
$959
$1,874
0%
33%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
18%
2%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
N/A
$73,737
2%
315%
$59,700
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$14,192
0%
123%
$9,688
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
4%
Yes 9¢No 98¢
7¢
N/A
$41,655
0%
0.24%
$35,916
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
3%
Yes 6¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$2,395
0%
0%
$1,463
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

15+ wins

Trade
2%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$40,368
0%
0.01%
$32,711
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
1%
Yes 7¢No 99¢
6¢
N/A
$52,179
0%
0.4%
$6,388
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

3+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,962
N/A
N/A
$4,193
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,780
N/A
N/A
$2,327
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,069
N/A
N/A
$1,053
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

16+ wins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,273
N/A
N/A
$1,941
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

17 wins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether the Cleveland Browns will win at least 4 games during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 97.0% that they will achieve this. This aggregated view incorporates data from both platforms, and will resolve based on whether the Cleveland Pro Football team wins at least 4 games in the 2026-27 regular season, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the Browns’ performance following the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 2026, as an early indicator of their potential for the season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a series of 'over' markets for each win total, while Polymarket offers a limited set of 'over' markets. This creates SKU risk and requires traders to understand the independent nature of each Kalshi market.Hero tip: Focus on the specific threshold being tested in each market. Kalshi's markets are independent, so a 'Yes' on Browns > 1 wins doesn't imply anything about Browns > 6.5 wins. Polymarket's markets are more directly comparable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Browns exceed a specific win total (e.g., 4.5, 5.5). Resolution source is official NFL records.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if the Browns exceed a specific win total (1-17). Each win total represents a separate market. Resolution source is official NFL records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins accumulated by the Cleveland Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each threshold from 1 through 17 wins represents a separate resolution point. A Yes resolution occurs if the team achieves at least the specified number of wins for that particular threshold. For example, the 5-win threshold resolves Yes if Cleveland wins 5 or more games; the 12-win threshold resolves Yes if Cleveland wins 12 or more games. The final win total determines which thresholds resolve affirmatively and which resolve negatively. All resolutions are based on official regular season records and do not include playoff games.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the Browns 2026 win total market. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $1,725,119, with $1,772 traded in the last 24 hours. The market aggregates predictions about whether the Browns will win over or under a specific number of games during the 2026 NFL season. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the team's future performance and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set the Browns' win total based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant factors. Both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making, but they represent different approaches to assessing the likelihood of various outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform may vary, leading to differing levels of price sensitivity. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the Cleveland Browns have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 89.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 4 games this season? at 97.0%. These differences reflect the unique perspectives and trading activity within each community. It's common to see temporary discrepancies before the market converges closer to resolution.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the Cleveland Browns in the 2026 NFL season, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. This includes any games played as part of the regular season, and does not include any postseason games. The resolution will be based on the official NFL standings and game results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Numerous events could influence the price of this market. Significant player acquisitions or departures, coaching changes, and key injuries to star players would all likely cause movement. Preseason performance, particularly the development of the quarterback position, will also be closely watched. Unexpected rule changes or shifts in the competitive landscape of the AFC North could also impact trader sentiment. Any news that alters perceptions of the Browns' potential for success during the 2026 season is likely to be reflected in the price of this market.